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EventUkraine

Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by...?

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UkrainePolymarket gives this event no start time.Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Top 200 wallets

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No top 200 wallet holds a position on this event yet

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Will Russia capture Kucheriv Yar by October 31? (opens in a new tab)

Settled: No won. Yes: 8 wallets, $675 · No: 10 wallets, $2,081 10 of 18 wallets backed the winner.

What these columns mean
Wallet
A wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.
Side
The side of this market the wallet's pick was on.
Result
Whether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.
Staked
What the wallet paid for its pick on this side.
Entry
The average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.
Held to the end
What the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.
Tail Score
The number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
The pick on this marketSettled markets
WalletA wallet that was in the top 200 of Ukraine when this market was played, or in its top 50 for a market played before 1 November 2026, with its place on that board tonight. The top 50 of the time come first. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place for as long as its score would still put it there: A wallet becomes inactive in a category once it has missed more than 10 of the days on which something settled there.SideThe side of this market the wallet's pick was on.ResultWhether that side won. A pick is held to the end: it is won or lost even if the wallet sold before the market settled.StakedWhat the wallet paid for its pick on this side.EntryThe average price the wallet paid on its side, in cents.Held to the endWhat the pick made or lost held to the end, at its entry price. It is not what the wallet cashed: it may have sold before the market settled.Tail ScoreThe number wallets are ranked by in a category: the wallet's edge per pick, pulled toward zero so a short lucky run can't beat a long record, then graded out of 100 on a scale that never moves. 50 means no edge at all. A score screenshotted today means the same thing in six months. The scale is published with the scores it grades.
0x166a…d7ed#3 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$10932c+$234.0465
0x343d…cd2e#5 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$2616c-$26.464
0xb17d…59ae#9 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$5030c-$49.5663
0x94d0…9e65#23 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$21170c+$90.2560
0x07fd…ad26#27 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$4179c+$10.6960
0x1583…bdde#52 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$3468c+$1658
0xf01a…f231#66 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$198c-$19.3158
0xf81a…eba3#95 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$15128c-$150.5957
0x1765…d450#229 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$32728c-$326.7555
Top 51 to 200
0x8d2e…d47e#94 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1969c+$8.6457
0x5d91…3578#161 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1,12971c+$454.5156
0xa0b9…6048#166 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$13374c+$46.855
0x00cd…c0ae#201 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1175c+$3.855
0xa937…4152#235 on the boardNowon (open this pick)$1173c+$4.0554
0xef54…c997#379 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$7614c-$75.9853
0xde09…dbdeNo place on the board tonightNowon (open this pick)$38263c+$227.1453
0x29ef…ddda#1,080 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1050c-$1052
0xd322…8503#1,326 on the boardYeslost (open this pick)$1733c-$16.551

79 qualified picks on this market are not shown: we did not yet keep which wallets were in the top 50 when it was played.

About this page

A settled market shows the wallets that were in the top 200 when it was played, the same wallets its open page showed, with the pick each one held to the end and whether it won. Their place on the board is tonight's. A market played before 1 November 2026, when we began to keep the top 200, shows the top 50 of that time.