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Events

Events with no start time, such as a season or an election.

Which side, and how much

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No date

What these columns mean
Place
Its place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.
Settles
The date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.
Event
The event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.
Top 200 wallets
How many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
PlaceIts place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.SettlesThe date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.EventThe event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.Top 200 walletsHow many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
1Best Chinese AI Company end of November?China & Taiwan11 wallets
2Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?China & Taiwan8 wallets
3China x Philippines military clash before 2027?China & Taiwan5 wallets
4Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?China & Taiwan4 wallets
5Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?China & Taiwan4 wallets
6US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?China & Taiwan3 wallets
7Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?China & Taiwan3 wallets
8Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?China & Taiwan3 wallets
9Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?China & Taiwan3 wallets
10Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?China & Taiwan2 wallets
11Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?China & Taiwan2 wallets
12Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?China & Taiwan2 wallets
13Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?China & Taiwan2 wallets
14Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?China & Taiwan2 wallets
15U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026?China & Taiwan1 wallet
16Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?China & Taiwan1 wallet
17Best Chinese AI Company end of December?China & Taiwan1 wallet
18Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?China & Taiwan1 wallet
19Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?China & Taiwan1 wallet
20China x India military clash by...?China & Taiwan1 wallet
21Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?China & Taiwan1 wallet
22Best Chinese AI Company end of January?China & Taiwan1 wallet
23China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?China & Taiwan1 wallet
24Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?China & Taiwan1 wallet
25US x China Military clash before 2027?China & Taiwan1 wallet
About this page
Which events are listed
  • An event is listed when a wallet in the top 200 of its category holds a position on one of its markets still open. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place in the top 200 for as long as its score would still put it there.
  • The position clears the Tail feed's bars: bought above 0c and at most 80c, worth at least $10, and not held on both sides. A buy made since we last read the wallet counts too, as it does on the event breakdown.
  • Today and tomorrow are US Eastern days for every reader. An event is listed from the day it starts until its last market settles. Only sports and esports events have a start time here: an election or a price is listed with no date, whatever date Polymarket gives it.
  • Each day is in order of how many top 200 wallets hold a position on an event, one wallet one vote, then of what they hold. A score weighs nothing here.