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Events

Events with no start time, such as a season or an election.

Which side, and how much

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No date

What these columns mean
Place
Its place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.
Settles
The date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.
Event
The event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.
Top 200 wallets
How many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
PlaceIts place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.SettlesThe date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.EventThe event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.Top 200 walletsHow many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
1How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?Fed Rates22 wallets
2How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?Fed Rates20 wallets
3How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?Fed Rates20 wallets
4How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Fed Rates20 wallets
5What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?Fed Rates17 wallets
6Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)Fed Rates17 wallets
7How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?Fed Rates17 wallets
8Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Fed Rates16 wallets
9Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)Fed Rates16 wallets
10How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Fed Rates15 wallets
11How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?Fed Rates14 wallets
12How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Fed Rates14 wallets
13How high will 2-year Treasury yield go before 2027?Fed Rates10 wallets
14How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in November?Fed Rates10 wallets
15How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in November?Fed Rates9 wallets
16Fed rate cut by...?Fed Rates7 wallets
17How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in November?Fed Rates7 wallets
18How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in November?Fed Rates7 wallets
19How low will 2-year Treasury yield get in November?Fed Rates7 wallets
20How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?Fed Rates6 wallets
21How low will 2-year Treasury yield get before 2027?Fed Rates6 wallets
22How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in November?Fed Rates6 wallets
23How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in November?Fed Rates6 wallets
24How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in November?Fed Rates5 wallets
25Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Fed Rates3 wallets
26Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?Fed Rates3 wallets
27How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?Fed Rates3 wallets
28Michael Barr officially out as Fed Governor by December 31?Fed Rates2 wallets
29Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?Fed Rates2 wallets
30What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2027?Fed Rates2 wallets
31Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?Fed Rates1 wallet
About this page
Which events are listed
  • An event is listed when a wallet in the top 200 of its category holds a position on one of its markets still open. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place in the top 200 for as long as its score would still put it there.
  • The position clears the Tail feed's bars: bought above 0c and at most 80c, worth at least $10, and not held on both sides. A buy made since we last read the wallet counts too, as it does on the event breakdown.
  • Today and tomorrow are US Eastern days for every reader. An event is listed from the day it starts until its last market settles. Only sports and esports events have a start time here: an election or a price is listed with no date, whatever date Polymarket gives it.
  • Each day is in order of how many top 200 wallets hold a position on an event, one wallet one vote, then of what they hold. A score weighs nothing here.