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Events

Events with no start time, such as a season or an election.

Which side, and how much

Start 7 days free to see which side the top wallets are on and what they hold, or sign in.

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What these columns mean
Place
Its place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.
Settles
The date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.
Event
The event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.
Top 200 wallets
How many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
PlaceIts place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.SettlesThe date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.EventThe event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.Top 200 walletsHow many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Middle East46 wallets
2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Middle East29 wallets
3Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Middle East28 wallets
4Iran full airspace closure by...?Middle East21 wallets
5Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?Middle East20 wallets
6Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Middle East14 wallets
7Iran leadership change by...?Middle East12 wallets
8Iran leader end of 2026?Middle East11 wallets
9Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Middle East9 wallets
10Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Middle East8 wallets
11Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Middle East8 wallets
12US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?Middle East7 wallets
13US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?Middle East7 wallets
14Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Middle East6 wallets
15USD x Iranian rials End of December?Middle East6 wallets
16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)Middle East6 wallets
17Netanyahu out by...?Middle East6 wallets
18Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Middle East5 wallets
19USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?Middle East5 wallets
20Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)Middle East5 wallets
21Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?Middle East5 wallets
22Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?Middle East5 wallets
23Will Iran target an Arab country by...?Middle East5 wallets
24Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Middle East4 wallets
25Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?Middle East4 wallets
26Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?Middle East4 wallets
27Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)Middle East4 wallets
28An event Polymarket gave no titleMiddle East4 wallets
29Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?Middle East4 wallets
30Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?Middle East4 wallets
31USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?Middle East4 wallets
32Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Middle East4 wallets
33What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Middle East3 wallets
34Iran coup attempt by...?Middle East3 wallets
35Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Middle East3 wallets
36US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?Middle East3 wallets
37Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Middle East3 wallets
38USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?Middle East3 wallets
39Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Middle East3 wallets
40Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Middle East3 wallets
41Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?Middle East3 wallets
42Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Middle East3 wallets
43Israel military action against Syria by...?Middle East3 wallets
44Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Middle East2 wallets
45Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Middle East2 wallets
46IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?Middle East2 wallets
47Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?Middle East2 wallets
48Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?Middle East2 wallets
49Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Middle East2 wallets
50Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?Middle East2 wallets
51Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?Middle East2 wallets
52US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?Middle East2 wallets
53How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?Middle East2 wallets
54Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?Middle East2 wallets
55How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?Middle East2 wallets
56UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Middle East2 wallets
57Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Middle East2 wallets
58Houthi military action against Israel by...?Middle East2 wallets
59Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?Middle East2 wallets
60Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?Middle East2 wallets
61Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?Middle East2 wallets
62Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?Middle East2 wallets
63Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Middle East2 wallets
64Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Middle East2 wallets
65Will Iran target Iraq by...?Middle East2 wallets
66Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?Middle East2 wallets
67Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?Middle East1 wallet
68Will Iran target Syria by...?Middle East1 wallet
69Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Middle East1 wallet
70Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?Middle East1 wallet
71Iran Nuke before 2027?Middle East1 wallet
72Israel military action against Lebanon on...?Middle East1 wallet
73How many UKMTO notices November 2–8?Middle East1 wallet
74Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Middle East1 wallet
75Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?Middle East1 wallet
76Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on...?Middle East1 wallet
77Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?Middle East1 wallet
78Will Israel annex any territory by...?Middle East1 wallet
79Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?Middle East1 wallet
80US military draft authorized in 2026?Middle East1 wallet
81Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?Middle East1 wallet
82Will Hezbollah disarm by...?Middle East1 wallet
83Israel military action against Lebanon on...?Middle East1 wallet
84Houthis target Syria by...?Middle East1 wallet
85Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Middle East1 wallet
86Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)Middle East1 wallet
87Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?Middle East1 wallet
88Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?Middle East1 wallet
89US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Middle East1 wallet
90Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Middle East1 wallet
91Will Iran target Qatar by...?Middle East1 wallet
92Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?Middle East1 wallet
93Bank of Israel Decision in January?Middle East1 wallet
94Bank of Israel Decision in February?Middle East1 wallet
About this page
Which events are listed
  • An event is listed when a wallet in the top 200 of its category holds a position on one of its markets still open. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place in the top 200 for as long as its score would still put it there.
  • The position clears the Tail feed's bars: bought above 0c and at most 80c, worth at least $10, and not held on both sides. A buy made since we last read the wallet counts too, as it does on the event breakdown.
  • Today and tomorrow are US Eastern days for every reader. An event is listed from the day it starts until its last market settles. Only sports and esports events have a start time here: an election or a price is listed with no date, whatever date Polymarket gives it.
  • Each day is in order of how many top 200 wallets hold a position on an event, one wallet one vote, then of what they hold. A score weighs nothing here.