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Events

Events with no start time, such as a season or an election.

Which side, and how much

Start 7 days free to see which side the top wallets are on and what they hold, or sign in.

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What these columns mean
Place
Its place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.
Settles
The date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.
Event
The event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.
Top 200 wallets
How many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
PlaceIts place in the day: by how many top 200 wallets hold a position on it, then by what they hold. Never by a score.SettlesThe date the event's first market is due to settle. Polymarket can settle a market later than this.EventThe event as Polymarket names it. It opens the event breakdown: every market of the event, and what the top 200 wallets hold on each.Top 200 walletsHow many different top 200 wallets of the event's category hold a position on it, all its markets together. The event breakdown counts the same wallets.
1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?Middle East46 wallets
2Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Middle East29 wallets
3Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Middle East28 wallets
4Venezuela leader end of 2026?Venezuela25 wallets
5Iran full airspace closure by...?Middle East21 wallets
6Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?Middle East20 wallets
7Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Middle East14 wallets
8US military action against Cuba by...?Venezuela13 wallets
9Iran leadership change by...?Middle East12 wallets
10Iran leader end of 2026?Middle East11 wallets
11Best Chinese AI Company end of November?China & Taiwan11 wallets
12Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Middle East9 wallets
13Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?Middle East8 wallets
14Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?Middle East8 wallets
15Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?China & Taiwan8 wallets
16US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?Middle East7 wallets
17US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?Middle East7 wallets
18Venezuela presidential election scheduled by...?Venezuela7 wallets
19Maduro Prison Time?Venezuela7 wallets
20Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?Middle East6 wallets
21USD x Iranian rials End of December?Middle East6 wallets
22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)Middle East6 wallets
23Netanyahu out by...?Middle East6 wallets
24Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?Venezuela5 wallets
25US strike on Colombia by...?Venezuela5 wallets
26China x Philippines military clash before 2027?China & Taiwan5 wallets
27Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?Middle East5 wallets
28USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?Middle East5 wallets
29US strike on Mexico by...?Venezuela5 wallets
30Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)Middle East5 wallets
31Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?Middle East5 wallets
32Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?Middle East5 wallets
33Will Iran target an Arab country by...?Middle East5 wallets
34Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?China & Taiwan4 wallets
35Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?Middle East4 wallets
36Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?Middle East4 wallets
37Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?Middle East4 wallets
38Houthis capture Taiz by...? (castle)Middle East4 wallets
39An event Polymarket gave no titleMiddle East4 wallets
40Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?Middle East4 wallets
41Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?Middle East4 wallets
42USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?Middle East4 wallets
43Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?Middle East4 wallets
44Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?China & Taiwan4 wallets
45What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Middle East3 wallets
46Iran coup attempt by...?Middle East3 wallets
47Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?Middle East3 wallets
48US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?Middle East3 wallets
49US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?China & Taiwan3 wallets
50Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?Middle East3 wallets
51USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?Middle East3 wallets
52Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Middle East3 wallets
53Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Middle East3 wallets
54Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?Middle East3 wallets
55Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?China & Taiwan3 wallets
56Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?Middle East3 wallets
57Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?China & Taiwan3 wallets
58Israel military action against Syria by...?Middle East3 wallets
59Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?China & Taiwan3 wallets
60Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?Middle East2 wallets
61U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?Venezuela2 wallets
62Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?Venezuela2 wallets
63Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?China & Taiwan2 wallets
64Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Middle East2 wallets
65IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?Middle East2 wallets
66Mohammed Ghalibaf out as Speaker of Iran Parliament by...?Middle East2 wallets
67Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Middle East2 wallets
68Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?Middle East2 wallets
69Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?Middle East2 wallets
70US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?Middle East2 wallets
71How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?Middle East2 wallets
72Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?Middle East2 wallets
73Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Venezuela2 wallets
74How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?Middle East2 wallets
75UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Middle East2 wallets
76Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Middle East2 wallets
77Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?China & Taiwan2 wallets
78Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?China & Taiwan2 wallets
79Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?China & Taiwan2 wallets
80Houthi military action against Israel by...?Middle East2 wallets
81Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?Middle East2 wallets
82Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by...?Middle East2 wallets
83Israel x Iran ceasefire ends before Netanyahu out?Middle East2 wallets
84Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?Middle East2 wallets
85Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?Middle East2 wallets
86Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Venezuela2 wallets
87Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Middle East2 wallets
88Will Iran target Iraq by...?Middle East2 wallets
89Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?Middle East2 wallets
90Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of January?China & Taiwan2 wallets
91Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?Middle East1 wallet
92Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by...?Venezuela1 wallet
93Will Iran target Syria by...?Middle East1 wallet
94Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?Middle East1 wallet
95Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?Middle East1 wallet
96Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?Middle East1 wallet
97Iran Nuke before 2027?Middle East1 wallet
98Israel military action against Lebanon on...?Middle East1 wallet
99How many UKMTO notices November 2–8?Middle East1 wallet
100Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?Middle East1 wallet

Showing the first 100 of 134.

About this page
Which events are listed
  • An event is listed when a wallet in the top 200 of its category holds a position on one of its markets still open. A wallet that has gone quiet keeps its place in the top 200 for as long as its score would still put it there.
  • The position clears the Tail feed's bars: bought above 0c and at most 80c, worth at least $10, and not held on both sides. A buy made since we last read the wallet counts too, as it does on the event breakdown.
  • Today and tomorrow are US Eastern days for every reader. An event is listed from the day it starts until its last market settles. Only sports and esports events have a start time here: an election or a price is listed with no date, whatever date Polymarket gives it.
  • Each day is in order of how many top 200 wallets hold a position on an event, one wallet one vote, then of what they hold. A score weighs nothing here.