CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BOSS vs mouse (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0030787e7b49d47f4ce6f9a90e984ff50daeb5261c3d191c163cd0e4f1ba14ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BOSSof BOSS, mouse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x328f…efe2backed mouse | 39c | 419.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked mouse | 42c | 403.03$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.27 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed BOSS | 63c | 205.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dac…654bbacked BOSS | 58c | 173.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d8…5cfbbacked mouse | 41c | 165.86$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed BOSS | 51c | 143.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…7349backed mouse | 39c | 126.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e07…292bbacked BOSS | 58c | 120.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed BOSS | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked mouse | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked BOSS | 58c | 69.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…19c1backed BOSS | 61c | 65.16$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed mouse | 41c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed BOSS | 61c | 57.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…1d6ebacked BOSS | 61c | 53.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked BOSS | 58c | 49.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed BOSS | 64c | 45.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked BOSS | 58c | 45.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked BOSS | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked BOSS | 60c | 41.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed mouse | 40c | 35.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked mouse | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11b3…48b6backed BOSS | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed BOSS | 62c | 27.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e12…d082backed BOSS | 58c | 25.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.