NHL · resolved market
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00754a5b0bf5bce96948169dc3ecba651bc4a47ffd3aeb56db2c8cd3d67cd17d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henderson Silver Knightsof Henderson Silver Knights, Coachella Valley Firebirds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Henderson Silver Knights | 51c | 3,584$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.97 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 1,436$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.74 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 1,024$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 255$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…ee8ebacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…6044backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 106$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 96$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…e615backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Henderson Silver Knights | 53c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207b…df20backed Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67de…1d9bbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 48c | 34.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 165 | 53.9%89 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed Coachella Valley Firebirds | 49c | 27.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2e…bf82backed Henderson Silver Knights | 52c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Coachella Valley Firebirds | 47c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.