Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas A&M-CC vs. Nicholls State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x008f47bef05904c015c69785f0299efafd7453b18df3a7a0011d653bd97ddad0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicholls Stateof Texas A&M-CC, Nicholls State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a96…18edbacked Nicholls State | 50c | 128$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd01…dd71backed Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 127$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…8388backed Nicholls State | 50c | 121$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…5d18backed Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…933ebacked Nicholls State | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…dcfebacked Nicholls State | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb95…de6ebacked Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a56cbacked Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe776…5f73backed Nicholls State | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dae…eed9backed Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nicholls State | 61c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6183…e12fbacked Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2d47backed Nicholls State | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…8d1cbacked Nicholls State | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e8…c478backed Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc335…7ccbbacked Nicholls State | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Texas A&M-CC | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…6393backed Nicholls State | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…6977backed Nicholls State | 57c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc5…cca8backed Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…0b35backed Texas A&M-CC | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…6c55backed Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…540dbacked Texas A&M-CC | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62f…9f0abacked Texas A&M-CC | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a4…fbcbbacked Nicholls State | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.