MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00918966905510c6beeeeeb68d888a4041983f4d9d0e6c679ea1e3fb1b09be5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof SSG Landers, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed SSG Landers | 41c | 643.84$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed LG Twins | 59c | 629.22$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.98 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed SSG Landers | 10c | 413.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 40c | 275.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SSG Landers | 12c | 188.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed LG Twins | 61c | 150.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked LG Twins | 60c | 123.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked LG Twins | 59c | 118.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed LG Twins | 68c | 78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed SSG Landers | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked LG Twins | 60c | 50.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked SSG Landers | 42c | 50.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked LG Twins | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SSG Landers | 41c | 40.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed SSG Landers | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…85e2backed LG Twins | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed SSG Landers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed SSG Landers | 41c | 29.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…268dbacked LG Twins | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2c…f9f2backed LG Twins | 56c | 27.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed LG Twins | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed LG Twins | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 539 | 50.6%273 W · 266 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.