Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00dd107685196f796d09e6b279346dd292021af2b485f4b957c63ce742d5e145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 15c | 3,310$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.5 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f7…1b34backed Yes | 15c | 2,467$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 1c | 1,157$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,104$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 827.39$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.95 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Yes | 21c | 792.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 21c | 465.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Yes | 21c | 425.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 79c | 261.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 79c | 237.57$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 177.15$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 22c | 160$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 21c | 142.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 19c | 122$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Yes | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 21c | 102.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…6222backed Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 20c | 74.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8614…a006backed No | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…fa2ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…0979backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…a30bbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 44.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked No | 78c | 41.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +8.1wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8207…af57backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…29a1backed No | 80c | 31.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed No | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 79c | 23.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…d54bbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?this page
- Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-07-12?Yes won
- Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-07-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.