Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Michigan vs. Ohio State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01351ff28135fa1d45d599ba0023562075f2b55ba4b14519d5b94218092f0d43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michiganof Michigan, Ohio State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Ohio State | 56c | 25,390$14,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,224 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Michigan | 56c | 14,693$8,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,423.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Michigan | 41c | 12,603$5,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.42 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Ohio State | 41c | 8,034$3,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,294 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e81…843cbacked Ohio State | 58c | 2,911$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Michigan | 48c | 2,092$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.31 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Michigan | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Michigan | 43c | 1,632$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.6 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Michigan | 45c | 1,315$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.43 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Michigan | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Michigan | 43c | 704.43$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.62 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Ohio State | 38c | 596.42$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 124 | 35.5%44 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Ohio State | 56c | 539.36$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.04 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Michigan | 54c | 286.73$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.73 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Michigan | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Michigan | 42c | 205$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.04 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Michigan | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Michigan | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Michigan | 47c | 134.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.33 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Michigan | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ohio State | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Michigan | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Ohio State | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Michigan | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af1…c09dbacked Ohio State | 56c | 77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Michigan | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…7b21backed Michigan | 44c | 73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 36cpaid | +232%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadb2…4e68backed Michigan | 44c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fca…ce68backed Michigan | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…f07ebacked Michigan | 44c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4c78backed Michigan | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…90b5backed Michigan | 44c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 55cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…760dbacked Ohio State | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf45…4851backed Ohio State | 56c | 62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd83f…d2cebacked Ohio State | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fef…13f8backed Ohio State | 56c | 57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…63e2backed Ohio State | 56c | 56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d6…d072backed Michigan | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Michigan | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…729dbacked Michigan | 63c | 52.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 45cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…e602backed Michigan | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…6d4ebacked Michigan | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8410…2494backed Michigan | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Michigan | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36a2…3dd4backed Ohio State | 56c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8213…9ac8backed Michigan | 44c | 48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d0…1616backed Ohio State | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc54b…0614backed Ohio State | 57c | 47.07$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…ef28backed Ohio State | 56c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…10fcbacked Michigan | 44c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…0698backed Ohio State | 56c | 46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069e…78c5backed Ohio State | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…93c3backed Ohio State | 56c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ff…639bbacked Ohio State | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…c0d4backed Ohio State | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…79a2backed Michigan | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…ea41backed Michigan | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Ohio State | 59c | 33.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Ohio State | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…a03bbacked Michigan | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51d…661abacked Michigan | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Ohio State | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25f…0b24backed Ohio State | 57c | 22.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…bd8fbacked Ohio State | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Michigan | 74c | 20.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf08…e62fbacked Ohio State | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.