Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Gods Reign vs xCrew Esports (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x019df72c9d87542fef006081300e2c7f1c912bc5970e240280e9b1506702875a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gods Reignof Gods Reign, xCrew Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,980 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed xCrew Esports | 17c | 3,188$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.37 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…d279backed xCrew Esports | 18c | 620$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…bc87backed xCrew Esports | 18c | 520$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…6907backed xCrew Esports | 18c | 480$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked xCrew Esports | 16c | 338$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked xCrew Esports | 15c | 297.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed xCrew Esports | 15c | 236$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed xCrew Esports | 16c | 200.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed xCrew Esports | 16c | 190.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Gods Reign | 34c | 136.71$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Gods Reign | 79c | 103.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked xCrew Esports | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked xCrew Esports | 66c | 82.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked xCrew Esports | 66c | 53.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.