TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Club León FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,363 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c1,509$1,061 inWon+$447.528,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over32c1,126$360 inLost-$360.323010%3 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-58.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Over26c400$104 inLost-$1042326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-51.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under69c148.47$103 inWon+$45.872,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over34c88.24$30 inLost-$307420.3%15 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over27c74.07$20 inLost-$2027031.5%85 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over30c50$15 inLost-$154228.6%12 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under69c19.59$13 inWon+$6.169162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Under72c17.86$13 inWon+$511461.4%70 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.