Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02126dd3d0c6438149430191e40c8694d227dd6a8b568a75dda21463313016ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Eternal Fire, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 3,824$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.68 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eternal Fire | 59c | 2,628$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.62 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 1,645$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.54 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 1,494$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.47 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 800$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Eternal Fire | 69c | 800$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d81dbacked Eternal Fire | 6c | 789.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 273.79$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc983…ebf0backed Eternal Fire | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 110$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Fire Flux Esports | 18c | 106.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 85.13$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 46.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 35.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf812…eca9backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…fdc6backed Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 28.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Kickoff Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.