CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026ee8b570a656b57cc550011152b3fc18a1a16f97ee51adc26f04a0cb061f83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HyperSpiritof HyperSpirit, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,687 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HyperSpirit | 37c | 1,172$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.97 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 66c | 1,144$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.42 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ECSTATIC | 36c | 658.56$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.87 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 47c | 619.33$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HyperSpirit | 51c | 404$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.76 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked ECSTATIC | 53c | 393.62$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.35 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed HyperSpirit | 45c | 206.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked HyperSpirit | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 181.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked ECSTATIC | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed HyperSpirit | 58c | 110.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HyperSpirit | 53c | 105.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed HyperSpirit | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ECSTATIC | 30c | 76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked HyperSpirit | 52c | 53.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…8afebacked ECSTATIC | 61c | 48.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed ECSTATIC | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 45.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2254…bfe0backed HyperSpirit | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed HyperSpirit | 50c | 30.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed HyperSpirit | 62c | 18.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs ECSTATIC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Group CHyperSpirit won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Odd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.