College Football · resolved market
Will Ole Miss beat Kentucky?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x029a417f0bf11593a048841b5a6247246542c3f75e043ae1694b49948ee50732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kentuckyof Ole Miss, Kentucky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kentucky | 12c | 4,201$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.84 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Kentucky | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Kentucky | 53c | 900$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Ole Miss | 54c | 845.46$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.6 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Kentucky | 12c | 647.88$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.14 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Kentucky | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Kentucky | 13c | 335.71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.6 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Kentucky | 12c | 200$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked Kentucky | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Kentucky | 29c | 157.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Ole Miss | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc8…a401backed Kentucky | 31c | 122.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Kentucky | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Kentucky | 67c | 91.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Kentucky | 15c | 86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.02 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…bf6ebacked Ole Miss | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Kentucky | 40c | 80.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf0…1179backed Ole Miss | 60c | 80.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…2ae9backed Ole Miss | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 73cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x62d3…6d42backed Kentucky | 49c | 26.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858a…b00dbacked Kentucky | 64c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ole Miss beat Kentucky?this page
- Will Ole Miss and Kentucky combine for 53 or more points?Under won
- Will Ole Miss beat Kentucky by 18 or more points?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.