South American Leagues · resolved market
Carabobo FC vs. Club Blooming: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02f411f8e999af73a499ca5e7843900900d53dc44617ebbfd13b787590b4b7d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6114…69dbbacked Yes | 26c | 3,650$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,555$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 1,011$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.46 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 48c | 551.75$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked No | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb2…0942backed Yes | 58c | 487.38$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 386.66$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.01 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 73c | 283.6$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 28c | 283.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Yes | 64c | 249.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 72c | 148.47$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 74c | 135.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 103.09$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 94.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked Yes | 50c | 94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 92.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 77.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed No | 37c | 69.45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137f…6689backed No | 38c | 56.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 74c | 53.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 52c | 46.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 41c | 34.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked No | 64c | 28.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 73c | 27.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6b…8ffabacked No | 73c | 27.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 42c | 24.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed No | 74c | 24.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 66c | 22.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…b24abacked No | 74c | 18.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 56c | 17.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ec…3630backed Yes | 63c | 16.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 73c | 14.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Carabobo FC vs. Club Blooming: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Carabobo FC vs. Club Blooming: O/U 2.5Under won
- Carabobo FC vs. Club Blooming: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Carabobo FC (-1.5)Carabobo FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.