Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0300866c32f4341e0e592155f157a16241ad5c827a642d6bb0de1e4e0ada8015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof LNG Esports, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9726…892ebacked LNG Esports | 52c | 4,170$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed LGD Gaming | 48c | 4,170$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports | 45c | 555.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked LGD Gaming | 55c | 527.27$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.27 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked LGD Gaming | 67c | 481.81$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.64 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked LNG Esports | 45c | 462.82$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.27 | 222 | 50.5%112 W · 110 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LNG Esports | 42c | 304.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…489fbacked LNG Esports | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked LGD Gaming | 58c | 275.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed LGD Gaming | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed LGD Gaming | 54c | 43.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…ce69backed LGD Gaming | 58c | 24.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?LGD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 2?LGD Gaming won
- First Blood in Game 3?LNG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.