Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: PAOK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x032f8e733afaba6ff00a1f5d58cf55d92b3ff3a1679276a3718d9265b3f4e06b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgradof PAOK, PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 76c | 2,297$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.17 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked PAOK | 24c | 2,117$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed PAOK | 24c | 1,031$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.34 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 76c | 736.22$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.69 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed PAOK | 23c | 174$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 379 | 26.1%99 W · 280 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 77c | 173.69$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 76c | 114$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 338 | 47%159 W · 179 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 77c | 72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…e6f5backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…1e51backed PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad | 77c | 25.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)this page
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. PAOK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. PAOK: O/U 1.5Over won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5Over won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. PAOK: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.