TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: XtremeDogs vs Bitfix Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bitfix Gamingof XtremeDogs, Bitfix Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,619 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Bitfix Gaming67c294.06$197 inWon+$97.0417353.8%93 W · 80 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked XtremeDogs52c291.36$152 inLost-$151.5110863%68 W · 40 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xef20…8f64backed XtremeDogs29c192$56 inLost-$55.683525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6315…2445backed Bitfix Gaming60c125$75 inWon+$503100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+91.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10c6…3314backed XtremeDogs40c120.5$48 inLost-$48.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d1…c1c3backed Bitfix Gaming67c118.64$80 inWon+$38.571361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b83…f841backed XtremeDogs29c62.2$18 inLost-$18.041060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed XtremeDogs33c62$20 inLost-$20.4641835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked XtremeDogs32c59$19 inLost-$18.881,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.