Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rider Broncs vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x037c98541b12f2edb9813c02ca33242d57afa785073fe2705d324234ccacb29f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Rider Broncs, Rutgers Scarlet Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,809
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,809 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Rider Broncs | 0c | 20,017$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Rider Broncs | 10c | 1,054$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x820a…922dbacked Rider Broncs | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Rider Broncs | 4c | 517$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Rider Broncs | 9c | 339.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Rider Broncs | 6c | 333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Rider Broncs | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Rider Broncs | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Rider Broncs | 12c | 169$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Rider Broncs | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rider Broncs vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knightsthis page
- Rider Broncs vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-18.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-19.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.