Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wichita State vs. North Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03d962982170f91257ed012f07b25d6f46e91ef28341f29f074d13ec76185122
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof Wichita State, North Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wichita State | 23c | 1,106$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.02 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked North Texas | 77c | 520.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wichita State | 15c | 399.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed North Texas | 77c | 261.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked North Texas | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed North Texas | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…3213backed Wichita State | 15c | 103$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d4…f91dbacked North Texas | 73c | 92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked North Texas | 72c | 89.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…396fbacked Wichita State | 26c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…c419backed Wichita State | 27c | 64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…ee69backed Wichita State | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df2…4545backed Wichita State | 25c | 59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd3…1f26backed North Texas | 74c | 57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Wichita State | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed North Texas | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked North Texas | 74c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wichita State | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a080backed North Texas | 75c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…8046backed North Texas | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…ccbdbacked North Texas | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8e…bc45backed North Texas | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b8…6d32backed North Texas | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…c39cbacked North Texas | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa1…8839backed North Texas | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.