Token Launches · resolved market
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03ec83b8b1dc87d3c2b1c2c89535a344d859f25fa350801d63d2e1217827215b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,533,517
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,717,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,533,517 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2914…27edbacked No | 2c | 231,596$4,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,921.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…68a3backed No | 0c | 220,422$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…3852backed No | 0c | 177,833$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5403…edd5backed No | 0c | 150,433$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe689…cfd9backed No | 0c | 150,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…1dbdbacked No | 5c | 147,800$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36cd…fd5fbacked No | 1c | 146,061$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…1272backed No | 0c | 119,506$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329e…60e6backed No | 0c | 118,858$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x735f…c2d5backed No | 0c | 117,285$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bb…f943backed No | 0c | 116,705$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x652c…5784backed No | 1c | 101,801$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc955…9ffcbacked No | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff2…2be4backed No | 0c | 79,333$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.66 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe62c…ab7abacked No | 2c | 76,538$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d09…8380backed No | 0c | 66,240$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…9c15backed No | 0c | 62,898$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa801…87a8backed No | 0c | 58,763$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcc…8d7ebacked No | 0c | 57,683$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a5…dd88backed No | 0c | 52,721$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…a7fbbacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…6099backed No | 1c | 47,952$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…22f7backed No | 4c | 46,382$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed No | 18c | 45,032$8,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,070.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…1319backed No | 3c | 43,576$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4be…3a8abacked No | 0c | 43,333$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…8a6cbacked No | 0c | 42,514$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…48a4backed No | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ed…196abacked No | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed No | 0c | 37,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…2b47backed No | 0c | 34,915$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a2…477cbacked No | 1c | 33,909$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa91e…09e0backed No | 0c | 33,058$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…4b43backed No | 1c | 32,704$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…dd2bbacked No | 0c | 32,412$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8a…022ebacked No | 1c | 31,344$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…e2e6backed No | 0c | 25,395$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…3a01backed No | 29c | 24,494$7,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,107.72 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…b8f5backed No | 0c | 23,383$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…39efbacked No | 0c | 22,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ec…d11abacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343d…cde2backed No | 1c | 19,675$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…74c5backed No | 0c | 19,544$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…c574backed No | 1c | 19,406$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…8971backed No | 0c | 17,938$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30d…57e6backed No | 0c | 17,342$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…a0b5backed No | 0c | 17,253$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…8f78backed No | 0c | 17,250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…b661backed No | 0c | 16,667$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7a…76c3backed No | 35c | 16,460$5,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,785.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…83dbbacked No | 0c | 16,345$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…658cbacked No | 0c | 16,317$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f7…4e2abacked No | 0c | 16,071$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…a094backed No | 0c | 15,520$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…75c8backed No | 0c | 15,360$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.49 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3028…9485backed No | 0c | 14,709$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed No | 44c | 14,125$6,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,259.31 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 14,115$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.22 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…c984backed No | 9c | 14,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25df…6276backed No | 0c | 13,990$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…af1cbacked No | 5c | 13,899$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa748…b309backed No | 4c | 13,832$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…5d59backed No | 2c | 13,734$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed No | 0c | 13,510$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…5a62backed No | 1c | 13,426$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28b8backed No | 1c | 13,295$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed No | 2c | 13,192$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…ada2backed Yes | 69c | 12,979$9,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,977.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…c13bbacked No | 4c | 12,371$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.86 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…d6ffbacked No | 1c | 11,942$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cd…99fbbacked No | 1c | 11,907$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…a673backed No | 0c | 11,900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2a…700fbacked No | 0c | 11,867$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6c…69b7backed No | 0c | 11,340$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 2c | 11,315$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…cf9abacked No | 4c | 11,314$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.03 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa758…0c98backed Yes | 68c | 11,197$7,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb364…d7a3backed No | 0c | 11,050$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 73c | 11,009$8,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.89 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9b…3bb8backed No | 0c | 11,006$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 10,990$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.17 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…17d8backed No | 0c | 10,936$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7a…ccbfbacked Yes | 30c | 10,734$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,554.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf276…0ddebacked No | 0c | 10,617$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504b…3089backed No | 0c | 10,500$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…b8a4backed No | 0c | 10,383$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…0664backed No | 0c | 10,310$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454f…7642backed No | 1c | 10,115$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…b1b9backed No | 1c | 10,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +456.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b3…2ebabacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab62…f76cbacked No | 29c | 9,800$2,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27bb…79fabacked No | 0c | 9,709$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…155ebacked No | 32c | 9,583$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,025.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…4e07backed No | 26c | 9,545$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,465.15 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…2e80backed No | 0c | 9,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ee…5904backed No | 0c | 9,433$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…ff52backed No | 0c | 8,332$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…0b12backed Yes | 29c | 8,247$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,889.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.