CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x043d32bcb995c233e9fb8e82b80b196f2bb5050d8dc72878e3be718af5769353
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ESC Gamingof ESC Gaming, LPH Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,394 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd92a…23d6backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 326$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…7e5ebacked LPH Gaming | 50c | 302$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb6…9252backed LPH Gaming | 50c | 289$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…3c25backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 270$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4521…4789backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 265$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…c936backed LPH Gaming | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d1c0backed LPH Gaming | 50c | 183$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +400%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca93…24efbacked ESC Gaming | 50c | 147$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631f…cfb2backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 122$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…316ebacked LPH Gaming | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd495…7bf2backed LPH Gaming | 50c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…e794backed ESC Gaming | 50c | 73$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked LPH Gaming | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked ESC Gaming | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed ESC Gaming | 68c | 27.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…4145backed ESC Gaming | 76c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.