Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Dubai Capitals vs Desert Vipers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04b7da154b7f5409e56d45dc2fb5b56bec58c305e7c7b80386e9f61cd56c1680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Desert Vipersof Dubai Capitals, Desert Vipers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dubai Capitals | 19c | 818.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.8 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dubai Capitals | 31c | 587.52$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.62 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Desert Vipers | 77c | 267.23$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Desert Vipers | 70c | 251.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.36 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Desert Vipers | 77c | 241.57$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Desert Vipers | 75c | 238.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Dubai Capitals | 50c | 178.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed Desert Vipers | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Dubai Capitals | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Desert Vipers | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…8e1dbacked Dubai Capitals | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ce…f82abacked Dubai Capitals | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Desert Vipers | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…d89fbacked Dubai Capitals | 62c | 28.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.