Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M Commerce
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x054a8045313e37576795b70a8715977e9d25047d35d7b3794c4c584401c876c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austinof Stephen F. Austin, Texas A&M Commerce
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stephen F. Austin | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 31c | 969.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 35c | 427.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Stephen F. Austin | 69c | 326.09$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.09 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc272…bfb1backed Texas A&M Commerce | 71c | 143$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stephen F. Austin | 63c | 132$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Texas A&M Commerce | 37c | 126$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b77…9063backed Stephen F. Austin | 29c | 122$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2645…bf5bbacked Stephen F. Austin | 29c | 122$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…d146backed Stephen F. Austin | 29c | 113$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…d09dbacked Stephen F. Austin | 32c | 58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 44cpaid | +144%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffb7…fc5abacked Texas A&M Commerce | 71c | 51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Stephen F. Austin | 69c | 50.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…5cd6backed Stephen F. Austin | 32c | 48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d7…760dbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 71c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…7122backed Texas A&M Commerce | 71c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412d…f063backed Texas A&M Commerce | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe710…69b8backed Texas A&M Commerce | 68c | 31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stephen F. Austin | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Stephen F. Austin | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…9806backed Texas A&M Commerce | 68c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cd…4d97backed Texas A&M Commerce | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128c…45e8backed Texas A&M Commerce | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de7…5924backed Stephen F. Austin | 61c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…88ddbacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfd…9bbdbacked Stephen F. Austin | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…914abacked Texas A&M Commerce | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.