TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

ITF Bielsko Biala: Patricia Georgiana Goina vs Lucie Petruzelova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucie Petruzelovaof Patricia Georgiana Goina, Lucie Petruzelova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7547…d158backed Patricia Georgiana Goina23c348.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.27,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc369…b1ccbacked Lucie Petruzelova77c157.14$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1439254.1%212 W · 180 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Lucie Petruzelova76c149.71$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9373048.8%356 W · 374 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6b…218bbacked Patricia Georgiana Goina24c127.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6940%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Lucie Petruzelova77c120$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.636349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Patricia Georgiana Goina22c113.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9832329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Patricia Georgiana Goina20c106.05$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2197141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…0685backed Lucie Petruzelova80c106.05$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2114757.1%84 W · 63 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-11.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucie Petruzelova78c67.46$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.847,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Lucie Petruzelova77c66.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4289859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lucie Petruzelova77c36.56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24a4…cf87backed Lucie Petruzelova77c16.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.832441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.