Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Pacific Tigers vs. Pepperdine Waves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0587b9fcb9bd90411c032adf5b0cc99f334de8fec9fd136ab7ea2cbf01236e79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacific Tigersof Pacific Tigers, Pepperdine Waves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pacific Tigers | 75c | 1,450$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Pepperdine Waves | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Pacific Tigers | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 23c | 666.35$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Pepperdine Waves | 25c | 236$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pepperdine Waves | 9c | 163$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Pacific Tigers | 74c | 150$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pepperdine Waves | 26c | 139$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pepperdine Waves | 17c | 100.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Pepperdine Waves | 24c | 95.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 182 | 30.8%56 W · 126 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pepperdine Waves | 23c | 91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Pacific Tigers | 78c | 76.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pepperdine Waves | 24c | 76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pacific Tigers | 76c | 76$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pepperdine Waves | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pacific Tigers | 72c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacific Tigers vs. Pepperdine Wavesthis page
- Pacific Tigers vs. Pepperdine Waves: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Pacific Tigers (-8.5)Pacific Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.