Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x062367b10d6004ad05bc06b87f519d25d3f37717b767effb31530183b95b9277
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 1,103$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 34c | 1,011$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.72 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 866.47$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.34 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 402.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 76c | 337.1$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 34c | 292.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 22c | 233.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336c…d32cbacked Yes | 34c | 169.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2cabbacked Yes | 30c | 154.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 68c | 126.37$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 69c | 114.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 34c | 112.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 11c | 104.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 72c | 103.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 32c | 88.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 67c | 72.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 67c | 72.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 67c | 72.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…c3c4backed Yes | 32c | 62.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…3c33backed Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 69c | 58.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 55.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 34c | 49.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 48.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 34c | 39.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…77fdbacked No | 72c | 36.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 38c | 28.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked No | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 17.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked No | 70c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…ab1fbacked No | 75c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.