Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Wright State vs. Milwaukee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065aec3964ba48253122ad893f684f7747cba3edd81989c8ae5ab22823bd6880
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukeeof Wright State, Milwaukee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x480d…f219backed Milwaukee | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wright State | 45c | 988$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wright State | 46c | 646.81$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wright State | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Wright State | 69c | 211.29$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Wright State | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…7e57backed Wright State | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Wright State | 30c | 87.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee | 44c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Milwaukee | 67c | 62.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe74…9e0abacked Wright State | 31c | 52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…10b7backed Wright State | 31c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Milwaukee | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…5258backed Milwaukee | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7060…f065backed Wright State | 43c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Wright State | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…845cbacked Milwaukee | 57c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Milwaukee | 70c | 28.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…7e94backed Milwaukee | 57c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad0…9acbbacked Wright State | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1717…6efebacked Milwaukee | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…69e6backed Milwaukee | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a74…8397backed Wright State | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…8dc4backed Milwaukee | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…289ebacked Milwaukee | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…b05cbacked Milwaukee | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98de…955dbacked Milwaukee | 69c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3525…e084backed Milwaukee | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.