South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Belgrano vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x068f803003fec9ce98b2a17b5ac901fe42e4304e6c5c66194efb6124aea006a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,650
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 7c | 3,647$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 849.86$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.29 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 67c | 762.89$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.65 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 32c | 689.68$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.7 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 6c | 604.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 7c | 563.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 269.25$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 68c | 180$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 164.75$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 6c | 162.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 143.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.04 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…b27bbacked Yes | 16c | 106.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 101.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 90.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…2d12backed Yes | 15c | 88.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 32c | 84.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 68c | 78.58$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 68c | 71.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.86 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 71c | 62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 68c | 43.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 34.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Yes | 35c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 31.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 70c | 31.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…675cbacked No | 69c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Belgrano vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.