CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Last Bullet (BO3) - MaceMedia VOID Cup Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06c26895a6ea77f52007f550d337a6ac5cb9e84b2a468fa7da07494287e93b43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rare Atomof Rare Atom, Last Bullet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,309 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda17…abc5backed Rare Atom | 57c | 1,799$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.15 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Last Bullet | 45c | 1,043$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Rare Atom | 40c | 435.2$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.46 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…d22bbacked Last Bullet | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Last Bullet | 40c | 231.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.68 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0004…a4d7backed Last Bullet | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Last Bullet | 37c | 138$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Last Bullet | 12c | 124.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x603a…b591backed Last Bullet | 41c | 107.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Last Bullet | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Last Bullet | 16c | 77.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ef…77e7backed Last Bullet | 30c | 67.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Last Bullet | 43c | 66.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Last Bullet | 42c | 59.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6078…dbaebacked Rare Atom | 76c | 43.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Last Bullet | 35c | 37.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8e…ca2ebacked Rare Atom | 65c | 37.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…8409backed Rare Atom | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Rare Atom | 58c | 22.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Rare Atom | 60c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Rare Atom | 78c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2079…33d8backed Rare Atom | 79c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.