Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0791deb05bf6cf8fd0ce47ef853adfacd5bc535eb094d7fc7bd3fbb586de7fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keyd Stars Academyof KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas, Vivo Keyd Stars Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 72c | 1,407$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.42 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 27c | 1,111$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.26 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 72c | 711.83$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…5a83backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 27c | 422.59$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 30c | 331.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 72c | 209.97$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 26c | 208.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 73c | 62.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 59.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 354 | 42.1%149 W · 205 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…3f1dbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 72c | 39.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 72c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…a007backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 73c | 21.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…1799backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a3…4a96backed Vivo Keyd Stars Academy | 72c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (+1.5)this page
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante PlayoffsVivo Keyd Stars Academy won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 1 WinnerVivo Keyd Stars Academy won
- LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy - Game 2 WinnerKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.