Valorant · resolved market
Will TYLOO Win More than 3.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07ecfe97947f8d9f4ce39d9ae6c9d8a4d55e0d1289c5e7658cc0b85d252d7cf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- O 3.5of O 3.5, U 3.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,939
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,939 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed U 3.5 | 65c | 90.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked O 3.5 | 33c | 70.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xffb1…f54ebacked U 3.5 | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked U 3.5 | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 49cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed U 3.5 | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked U 3.5 | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed U 3.5 | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcca4…abb1backed U 3.5 | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…2db3backed U 3.5 | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd1…fc34backed U 3.5 | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked U 3.5 | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will TYLOO Win More than 3.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2this page
- Will Bilibili Gaming Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2O 2.5 won
- Will Dragon Ranger Gaming Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2U 2.5 won
- Will EDward Gaming Win More than 4.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2U 4.5 won
- Will FunPlus Phoenix Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2U 2.5 won
- Will JD Gaming Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2U 1.5 won
- Will Nova Esports Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2O 1.5 won
- Will Titan Esports Club Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2U 1.5 won
- Will Trace Esports Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2U 1.5 won
- Will Wolves Esports Win More than 2.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2U 2.5 won
- Will XLG Esports Win More than 3.5 Matches in VCT 2026 China Stage 2U 3.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.