TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Utah

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Utahof Flyers, Utah
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,000
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$18,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,000 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x021c…b735backed Flyers78c1,287$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Utah38c1,249$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.051,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Utah52c1,240$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.8485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Utah57c1,145$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.5120147.8%96 W · 105 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers1c1,080$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.41,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Flyers43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.9985148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Utah22c887.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69292848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0254…34b3backed Utah56c887.07$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.311376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Flyers49c811.56$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Utah56c782.07$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2313756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Utah50c620.98$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2532331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Utah55c587.9$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.191,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Flyers72c509.83$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.3118520.5%38 W · 147 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-45.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Flyers67c495.19$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33323761.6%146 W · 91 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Flyers8c455$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Flyers55c437.27$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.63,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Utah47c400.2$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.133141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x721c…9bfcbacked Utah55c364.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.68757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Flyers43c331.83$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7672444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Utah34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1988744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Flyers46c217.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Utah42c211.11$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.7491334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Flyers51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Flyers50c140.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7045954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc93…4249backed Flyers73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008254.9%45 W · 37 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Flyers46c115.65$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.224945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e2a…0e15backed Flyers44c113.64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Utah55c110.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7138040.5%154 W · 226 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d37…906abacked Flyers44c102.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Utah50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506437.5%24 W · 40 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Flyers46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4672448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Flyers44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4450049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Utah40c80.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.469553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Flyers44c80.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Flyers45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Flyers50c77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.217054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah35c66.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.091,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…52babacked Flyers46c65.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…6e58backed Utah56c64.29$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.29633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb090…86babacked Flyers44c47.11$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4274…6d99backed Utah55c42.37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Flyers42c41.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6225340.7%103 W · 150 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e6…bdffbacked Utah56c40.78$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3941…4aeabacked Utah56c40.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46d9…7e37backed Flyers45c40.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe408…232bbacked Utah32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22065%13 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f2c…8781backed Flyers44c39.93$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-53.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bdd…bb7abacked Utah56c38.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.81425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc509…205abacked Flyers44c38.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb9…3a5dbacked Utah55c38.1$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.143100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0775…1f2dbacked Flyers43c38.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc747…c632backed Utah56c37.69$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb9f…fe60backed Flyers44c37.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa9e…91a0backed Utah56c37.41$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…8db5backed Utah57c37.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e65…daeabacked Flyers44c35.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c35…a224backed Utah56c35.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d8…654dbacked Flyers44c35.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365a…ad6bbacked Utah55c34.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.653100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+100.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe341…29ebbacked Utah57c34.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.87650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f5b…1d8ebacked Utah55c33.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb08…e352backed Flyers45c33.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ec…e051backed Flyers43c33.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c4…2196backed Utah57c33.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c6…73adbacked Utah56c32.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Flyers45c31.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3176450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4689…4d8abacked Utah55c31.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.312100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c0…68edbacked Flyers44c30.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71e8…7beebacked Utah56c30.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74df…7ce7backed Utah55c29.67$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16e…2e68backed Utah56c29.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+57.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x962c…3062backed Flyers44c29.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0fe…93d2backed Utah56c29.49$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.984100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0299…7262backed Flyers44c29.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ad8…cfe4backed Flyers45c28.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dfc…b73abacked Utah55c27.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x624f…5b7abacked Flyers44c27.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.17540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d4…3811backed Flyers43c27.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fd…08e8backed Utah56c27.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+117.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce67…4a2dbacked Flyers44c26.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe65b…d530backed Utah56c26.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Utah56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7915549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73cc…69c1backed Flyers45c26.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56a9…f16cbacked Flyers44c26.49$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c7…7574backed Utah57c25.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.93475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dcd…fd7ebacked Utah56c25.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dd6…19e6backed Flyers44c25.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b1…3b8fbacked Utah58c24.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d89…ca0cbacked Utah56c23.51$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58de…2c92backed Flyers44c23.51$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x07df…9fadbacked Flyers45c23.34$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb019…dad2backed Utah55c23.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd4…8643backed Flyers65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518259.9%109 W · 73 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Flyers65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa9…dff2backed Flyers44c23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7398…e444backed Utah56c21.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+50.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc0…243dbacked Utah56c21.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Utah55c21.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.749351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fee…aed2backed Utah57c21.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.03450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb8…05aabacked Utah56c20.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.