Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Aura vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08f09fb8530de71c7768df2fda219b9787a584a4b524557d2ae9eb9b7b8e5e53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auraof Aura, KRÜ Spark
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed KRÜ Spark | 28c | 3,400$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Aura | 72c | 1,739$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.2 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed KRÜ Spark | 29c | 1,200$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02e…8fb2backed Aura | 71c | 765$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…e344backed KRÜ Spark | 9c | 556.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Aura | 66c | 398.48$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked KRÜ Spark | 35c | 398.36$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.36 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked Aura | 71c | 204.23$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Aura | 71c | 101.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed KRÜ Spark | 34c | 98.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Aura | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed KRÜ Spark | 23c | 85.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…a2fbbacked KRÜ Spark | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Aura | 71c | 42.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Aura | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fe5backed Aura | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aura | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Aura vs KRÜ Spark (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group Stagethis page
- Map Handicap: Aura (-1.5) vs KRÜ Spark (+1.5)Aura won
- Valorant: Aura vs KRÜ Spark - Map 1 WinnerAura won
- Valorant: Aura vs KRÜ Spark - Map 2 WinnerAura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.