CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs XI Esport (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x097fbaec229b1c3ac245c66664249e48d6f65d3c304c9f7e092e1df3716c916c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestigeof Prestige, XI Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50de…006dbacked XI Esport | 27c | 1,550$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed XI Esport | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…92f8backed XI Esport | 8c | 1,142$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33f…dcbdbacked XI Esport | 27c | 1,110$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fb…4a07backed Prestige | 73c | 1,110$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…742dbacked Prestige | 73c | 780$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x546b…29abbacked Prestige | 73c | 770$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed XI Esport | 3c | 611.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Prestige | 77c | 166.43$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed XI Esport | 13c | 117.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Prestige | 71c | 117.69$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed XI Esport | 26c | 93.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Prestige | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…bd4dbacked XI Esport | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7927…34d2backed Prestige | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Prestige | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs XI Esport (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs XI Esport - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.