Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-10-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098f9ac42ca589bfa2581636ab701c0efe0b249cbdded7e1e5dd5711da8859d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 44c | 24,598$10,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,823.01 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 2,211$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.78 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 50c | 1,361$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.06 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes | 56c | 562.5$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 516.65$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.92 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 43c | 478.16$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.61 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 48c | 306.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.01 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 47c | 285.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked No | 55c | 210.18$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 49c | 203.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 43c | 176.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes | 57c | 175.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 56c | 144.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 113.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.49 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 51c | 87.91$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 56c | 86.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 67.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 60.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 51c | 57.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a92…c401backed Yes | 56c | 41.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Yes | 49c | 40.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 43c | 40.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 47c | 33.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Yes | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d76…cdc5backed No | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aarhus GF win on 2025-10-24?this page
- Will Aarhus GF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.