Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0993e04b0da7d4eb272aaaab9e0bdda9e796b99eefa9dd2294fa43bdb7f26971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 12c | 3,550$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 2,306$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.58 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 11c | 2,019$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.09 | 199 | 34.7%69 W · 130 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Yes | 12c | 1,875$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Yes | 11c | 1,262$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…cb79backed Yes | 10c | 999.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 12c | 946.13$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.54 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 10c | 876.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.64 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 11c | 525$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.58 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 10c | 510.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 9c | 451.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 4c | 356.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 7c | 341.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf517…2c9fbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…15d9backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 8c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 4c | 222.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a47…2f43backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 10c | 163.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…a3a7backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 147.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 11c | 91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…df3cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Utrecht win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-11-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.