Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: TBK Esports vs Paysandu E-Sports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09a416eeb9081960acabfa0cc1dabfe27fcb3ac0d60f04ca539d49f665886469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TBK Esportsof TBK Esports, Paysandu E-Sports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Paysandu E-Sports | 26c | 2,128$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed TBK Esports | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…4b3fbacked TBK Esports | 74c | 608.11$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.11 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed TBK Esports | 74c | 570.57$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked TBK Esports | 74c | 461$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed TBK Esports | 74c | 356.76$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Paysandu E-Sports | 27c | 286.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Paysandu E-Sports | 27c | 270.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Paysandu E-Sports | 27c | 250$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Paysandu E-Sports | 27c | 237.25$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked TBK Esports | 74c | 196.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed TBK Esports | 73c | 180.55$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Paysandu E-Sports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Paysandu E-Sports | 27c | 98.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Paysandu E-Sports | 27c | 59.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked TBK Esports | 73c | 40.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed TBK Esports | 73c | 26.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.