Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seton Hall vs. Georgetown
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09bf7320e4f1b54b596515681658909b29fdf31089c97297934f71898cf154df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgetownof Seton Hall, Georgetown
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3752…51eebacked Seton Hall | 50c | 68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…7043backed Seton Hall | 50c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…8b72backed Georgetown | 50c | 67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…2bcbbacked Georgetown | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…97f0backed Seton Hall | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…9e94backed Seton Hall | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f77…6106backed Georgetown | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102d…06cdbacked Georgetown | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…15eabacked Seton Hall | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…25fabacked Georgetown | 50c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…7f20backed Seton Hall | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…6c39backed Seton Hall | 50c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcc…a870backed Georgetown | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5244…7cb2backed Seton Hall | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7311…6b60backed Georgetown | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…da04backed Georgetown | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27c6…a1e4backed Georgetown | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f9…6675backed Seton Hall | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…2339backed Georgetown | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5457…6c96backed Seton Hall | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…f71abacked Georgetown | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.