Tennis · resolved market
ITF Koksijde: Jana Otzipka vs Tatiana Pieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ff05f54d23fccba78a4110471ca2d40af243ebbccd84c1e944d1db57763e36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tatiana Pieriof Jana Otzipka, Tatiana Pieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tatiana Pieri | 65c | 42,016$27,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,707.54 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jana Otzipka | 35c | 41,884$14,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,671.83 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Jana Otzipka | 36c | 1,195$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.6 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tatiana Pieri | 64c | 1,097$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.23 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tatiana Pieri | 65c | 390.92$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Jana Otzipka | 39c | 309.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 393 | 40.7%160 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Jana Otzipka | 33c | 295.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Jana Otzipka | 38c | 283.44$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tatiana Pieri | 65c | 241.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Tatiana Pieri | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Jana Otzipka | 34c | 135.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Tatiana Pieri | 63c | 119.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Tatiana Pieri | 65c | 116$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jana Otzipka | 33c | 90.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tatiana Pieri | 63c | 82.48$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Tatiana Pieri | 67c | 81.07$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Tatiana Pieri | 74c | 65.29$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Tatiana Pieri | 79c | 59.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Jana Otzipka | 38c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Jana Otzipka | 38c | 43.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Jana Otzipka | 40c | 41.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Tatiana Pieri | 61c | 35.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Tatiana Pieri | 62c | 26.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Tatiana Pieri | 63c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Jana Otzipka | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.