Tennis · resolved market
ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lausanne (Switzerland), clay: Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg vs Nino Ehrenschneider
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a42d4b2d7905968a14532dc012deca0d581fcd0b93a2510582d7f4db1797a19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nino Ehrenschneiderof Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg, Nino Ehrenschneider
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 41c | 3,150$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.38 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 60c | 2,939$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.29 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad0…7150backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 14c | 651.86$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.6 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 72c | 471.93$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 287 | 51.6%148 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 63c | 287.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 1,115 | 60.3%672 W · 443 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c0…5135backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 53c | 259.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.92 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 55c | 236.95$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.23 | 842 | 60.9%513 W · 329 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 55c | 199.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 53c | 176$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 5,600 | 48.5%2,717 W · 2,883 L | +10.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 53c | 150.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.54 | 8,127 | 50.8%4,126 W · 4,001 L | +84.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 51c | 123.24$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 536 | 47%252 W · 284 L | +27.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 60c | 93.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 4,708 | 48.3%2,275 W · 2,433 L | +36.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 68c | 72.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 1,109 | 48%532 W · 577 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 22c | 59.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 647 | 26.4%171 W · 476 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…3be8backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 36c | 55.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Nino Ehrenschneider | 50c | 54.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1,112 | 57.9%644 W · 468 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…c395backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 32c | 39.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 34c | 36.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 344 | 48.8%168 W · 176 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…45e8backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 32c | 35.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 68c | 34.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 432 | 58.6%253 W · 179 L | +28.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 50c | 33.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 2,076 | 52.9%1,099 W · 977 L | +33.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Nino Ehrenschneider | 34c | 32.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 924 | 41.2%381 W · 543 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.