Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a56dc823e395fec30f05d65853db8560312d34cd497c82cd8cdb6016822b7b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicholls Colonelsof McNeese State Cowboys, Nicholls Colonels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Nicholls Colonels | 58c | 852.08$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.34 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 42c | 545.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.77 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Nicholls Colonels | 55c | 232.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Nicholls Colonels | 57c | 231.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 43c | 209.92$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 45c | 133.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 42c | 103.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed McNeese State Cowboys | 44c | 103.05$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 94.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…b1a7backed Nicholls Colonels | 57c | 86.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…7bfebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 40c | 59.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 28c | 55.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed McNeese State Cowboys | 56c | 37.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nicholls Colonels | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed McNeese State Cowboys | 61c | 32.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed McNeese State Cowboys | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed McNeese State Cowboys | 50c | 22.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-11.5)this page
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Nicholls ColonelsMcNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-10.5)Nicholls Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.