CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Favbet - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0075a1de62ef63d9aff58888dc81ece3b5280deee09a2ec06a6d2dcb3fec9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof AM Gaming, Favbet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,102 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked AM Gaming | 21c | 1,909$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.93 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked AM Gaming | 10c | 1,795$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 20c | 1,063$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.65 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked Favbet | 77c | 867.48$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked AM Gaming | 15c | 705.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked AM Gaming | 25c | 512.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Favbet | 67c | 449.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.65 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 20c | 428.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.06 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed AM Gaming | 13c | 404.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Favbet | 66c | 390$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 16c | 321.32$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AM Gaming | 14c | 241.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16be…73dabacked AM Gaming | 41c | 241.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked AM Gaming | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Favbet | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed AM Gaming | 17c | 118.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…7f01backed AM Gaming | 31c | 90.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed AM Gaming | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed AM Gaming | 33c | 69.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…13a8backed AM Gaming | 18c | 66.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…1e14backed AM Gaming | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AM Gaming | 19c | 57.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed AM Gaming | 37c | 52.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Favbet | 59c | 40.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked AM Gaming | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…843abacked AM Gaming | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked Favbet | 79c | 38.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa391…dd32backed Favbet | 73c | 24.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Favbet - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Favbet (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 PlayoffsFavbet won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Favbet - Map 1 WinnerFavbet won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.