TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kennesaw State vs. Louisiana Tech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kennesaw Stateof Kennesaw State, Louisiana Tech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5c57…5b16backed Louisiana Tech65c323.77$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.6342948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Kennesaw State35c243.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7553057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7441…233cbacked Kennesaw State33c178$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.26580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eba…43a1backed Louisiana Tech50c173$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5362…760abacked Kennesaw State50c173$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa3…d3ebbacked Kennesaw State33c162$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.54560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x887a…c778backed Louisiana Tech67c148$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2b…1206backed Kennesaw State50c143$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e6…ab0bbacked Louisiana Tech50c143$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fc5…8f97backed Louisiana Tech67c142$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.14450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26cd…d48dbacked Kennesaw State33c138$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.46837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1f6…2478backed Kennesaw State31c104$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a47…f730backed Louisiana Tech50c85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f26…e4c8backed Kennesaw State50c85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00f2…b566backed Kennesaw State50c84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+201.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6f58…fb90backed Louisiana Tech67c81$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2872…f455backed Louisiana Tech50c74$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x794a…19c1backed Kennesaw State50c74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f98…4cc0backed Louisiana Tech50c65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff9…3f8bbacked Kennesaw State50c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Kennesaw State33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb8…9dd9backed Louisiana Tech50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28c0…97f0backed Louisiana Tech67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.530%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Louisiana Tech51c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.81,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab61…3fb2backed Louisiana Tech67c42$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Kennesaw State50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2024759.5%147 W · 100 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf091…a187backed Louisiana Tech50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b5f…3de7backed Kennesaw State50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cee…d3afbacked Louisiana Tech69c39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb834…c15abacked Louisiana Tech69c38$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d9c…8862backed Louisiana Tech74c38$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+88.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbe…1a68backed Louisiana Tech74c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7127…8b72backed Louisiana Tech67c27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7319…5647backed Louisiana Tech69c27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…1ca4backed Louisiana Tech74c26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+51.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe034…96b0backed Louisiana Tech67c26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3363…9f51backed Louisiana Tech74c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ab7…7ad7backed Kennesaw State50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc71c…b7ecbacked Louisiana Tech50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba7…bdc9backed Kennesaw State50c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe53c…14aabacked Louisiana Tech50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+49.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb30b…d7e7backed Kennesaw State50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5764…c70bbacked Louisiana Tech50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea11…d295backed Kennesaw State50c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…a59cbacked Louisiana Tech50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861b…6291backed Louisiana Tech50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x042d…0e37backed Kennesaw State50c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0cd…c823backed Louisiana Tech50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8024…aa93backed Louisiana Tech50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6525…853bbacked Louisiana Tech50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d27…f6a9backed Kennesaw State50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8995…1a70backed Kennesaw State50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x188e…e031backed Kennesaw State73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb94…14b7backed Kennesaw State73c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac80…366fbacked Kennesaw State73c14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.