Asian League · resolved market
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b5775115f20ce0e9aa4d0e4fcb666d2205e1f82c7b5baf3bdc9074fdd8d117d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 56c | 210,215$117,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,505.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 44c | 200,000$88,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 5,999$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.47 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 1,920$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.63 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 1,577$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.57 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 57c | 301$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.43 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 44c | 199$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Under | 56c | 102.54$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 46c | 90.3$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 89.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 47c | 87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 46c | 85.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Over | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…6a86backed Over | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf5…5ee8backed Over | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…5879backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf30…8cb4backed Over | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c71…5cdbbacked Over | 46c | 26.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.