Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard vs. SC State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b676ff59882343f51cb838c165d5609def726e8ddf999e2f7c53bd1168e74f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Stateof Howard, SC State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Howard | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa921…3165backed Howard | 22c | 1,162$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75db…2098backed SC State | 78c | 1,111$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf037…a43bbacked Howard | 17c | 215$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…e1b1backed Howard | 17c | 141$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…3d7ebacked Howard | 23c | 134$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…794cbacked Howard | 20c | 126$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…6e98backed Howard | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec22…8524backed Howard | 17c | 98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e14…bb7bbacked Howard | 17c | 96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…6a9ebacked Howard | 20c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d8…b926backed Howard | 25c | 66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…795fbacked Howard | 25c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…9e70backed SC State | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x794d…020bbacked SC State | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfc…b705backed SC State | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…580cbacked Howard | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c3…731dbacked SC State | 77c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…22c9backed SC State | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…08fcbacked SC State | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…319bbacked SC State | 52c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a95…4333backed Howard | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5365…0d09backed SC State | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…223cbacked SC State | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03df…0073backed SC State | 78c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…8e45backed SC State | 80c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…6e89backed SC State | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee7…517fbacked SC State | 80c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ab…e624backed Howard | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…03efbacked SC State | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…8961backed SC State | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3152…bc12backed Howard | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…9b0ebacked SC State | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa37…1fa5backed SC State | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x447c…583cbacked SC State | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b581backed SC State | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…3515backed SC State | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…29edbacked SC State | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc08…019dbacked SC State | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…2f1cbacked SC State | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda5…807fbacked SC State | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…de2abacked SC State | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…c398backed SC State | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdc…fa86backed SC State | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7f…8068backed SC State | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…24f6backed SC State | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687b…f8a9backed SC State | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…cd81backed SC State | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…888cbacked SC State | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.