Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-10-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b82821f6e2d907a1a719dc94531268e99bd2c686ed0587fe70632fa85e7788c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 4,156$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365.03 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ef…5232backed Yes | 44c | 3,112$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 2c | 2,764$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.69 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.29per pick | 18cpaid | +387.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…80f7backed Yes | 10c | 2,012$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +240.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 40c | 1,664$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Yes | 42c | 1,204$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 858.57$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.98 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 72c | 223.95$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 59c | 97.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc7…5d7bbacked Yes | 42c | 23.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…84bcbacked Yes | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2025-10-23?this page
- Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.