Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Holy Cross vs. Navy
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b856c6744f5b2eb5ce4373c3911e813943ef7df27b7349b5335d9a7b4aabf0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navyof Holy Cross, Navy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeacc…1127backed Holy Cross | 31c | 156$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb778…5d08backed Holy Cross | 31c | 155$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…b059backed Holy Cross | 33c | 155$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4966…3e92backed Navy | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…7ae5backed Holy Cross | 33c | 149$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f6…0541backed Holy Cross | 31c | 147$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…d94fbacked Holy Cross | 31c | 113$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…95dfbacked Holy Cross | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…0fc6backed Holy Cross | 31c | 97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e2…5fe7backed Navy | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98a…354bbacked Navy | 69c | 89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…a1f5backed Navy | 69c | 88$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x387d…e6ddbacked Navy | 69c | 86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba9…d1d9backed Navy | 69c | 84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…d1e0backed Navy | 67c | 78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…d4b4backed Navy | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Holy Cross | 29c | 70.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Navy | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…8a1cbacked Navy | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7f…0f12backed Navy | 69c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53d0…d7dabacked Navy | 69c | 67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc2…a137backed Navy | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…89e7backed Navy | 67c | 46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…e4adbacked Holy Cross | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a08…f344backed Navy | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…745abacked Navy | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Holy Cross | 30c | 35.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Navy | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.